Michigan frost dates

You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 26. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 7. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 19. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.

A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy damage to most garden plants.You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 1. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 13. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 24. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 24. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 5. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 15. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.

There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 13. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 24. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall. Temperature.You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 9. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 17. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 26. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by --. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 22. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by --. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Hartford, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around October 7, and by October 31 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.As frost melts beneath a paved road, the roadbed turns wet and spongy because water is trapped between the pavement and the remaining ice layer beneath. ... Date when info was last updated; ... including stewardship of the county road right-of-way in Michigan. Contact us. Address: 101 S. Washington Sq., Ste. 200, Lansing, MI 48933 Phone: 517. ...Michigan implements frost laws during the spring thaw to protect roads from damage. In 2022, these restrictions will be in effect starting on March 1st for Lower Peninsula and April 16th for Upper Peninsula region, lasting until May or later depending on weather conditions. The exact map of affected areas can vary year by year based on ...

You can find plants that are hardy in your region by inputting your zip code into My Garden Life’s USDA Zone Finder. Use the map to locate a desired region and match it to the corresponding color in the …Here is a quick table about frost dates in Michigan - Table: Frost Dates For Michigan. City First Frost Date Last Frost Date; Troy: October 7: May 5: West Olive: October 7: May 7: Whittaker: October 5: May 9: White Pine: September 16: June 6: Guidelines for Sowing Tomato Seeds.A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...First Fall Frost. Growing Season. EAST LANSING 4 S, MI. 879'. May 4. Oct 11. 159 days. Last and first frost dates are 30% probability. Calculated using 1991-2020 Climate Normals from NOAA.

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A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...First Fall Frost. Growing Season. EAST LANSING 4 S, MI. 879'. May 4. Oct 11. 159 days. Last and first frost dates are 30% probability. Calculated using 1991-2020 Climate Normals from NOAA.November 6/March 28. Portland Downtown. November 27/February 24. Troutdale. November 8/March 28. Wilsonville. October 30/April 18. Statistics used to formulate first and last frost dates are drawn from weather data collected from 1981-2010. All data is collected at low elevations.A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy damage to most garden plants.You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 26. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 7. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 19. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.

The last spring frost date has moved up by as much as 30 days in Arizona and California as a result. The regional climate center predicts Michigan's median last spring frost will be on April 21.As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Mason, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 21, and by October 14 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.An Interactive Map of Average First Frost Dates in Michigan and a list of locations in Michigan with Average First Frost Dates.A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.First Fall Frost. Growing Season. LANSING CAPITAL CITY AP, MI. 839'. May 7. Oct 6. 151 days. Last and first frost dates are 30% probability. Calculated using 1991-2020 Climate Normals from NOAA.You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 1. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 13. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 24. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Negaunee, Michigan. How to read these charts for the spring. As the growing season approaches, the days get longer, the weather begins to warm up, and the nights start being less cold. You're still getting frost, but the chance of nightly frosts gets less and less with each passing day.You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 14. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 21. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 28. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Harrison, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around August 19, and by September 19 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.This big swing can also be seen from East to West as Detroit is listed as April 30 for average last frost. Please note the word AVERAGE here ( view statewide table of …Last frost date. Before planting your garden, determine the chances for a killing frost in your area by checking the frost-free chart. This chart lists probable dates for the first and last frost of the year throughout Michigan, and helps you determine when you can first plant without minimal risk of a killing frost. Many people plant after the ...

As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for South Lyon, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 20, and by October 19 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.

In freeze date tables for locations noted on the map, a set of probabilities is provided for various temperature thresholds in spring and fall. For example: viewing a "Spring Freeze Dates" table, along the "32" degrees row, and under the ".70" probability column, one might see "4/19". This means that for this location, there is a 70% chance of ...You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 17. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 25. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 3. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Lincoln Park, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 26, and by October 24 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.Michigan Last Frost Date 2024. First and last frost dates by state. Last frost date detroit 2024. Leaflet | ©zipdatamaps ©openstreetmap contributors. We have dates for both, listed state by state. List Of Average Last Frost Dates For Locations In Michigan. According to the almanac, the last frost dates in northern michigan vary from mayFrost Dates: First and last frost dates for Caro Wwtp, MI How to read these charts for the spring As the growing season approaches, the days get longer, the weather begins to warm up, and the nights start being less cold.Oct 1. Oct 3. Oct 5. Oct 7. Oct 10. Oct 13. Oct 17. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Northville, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!

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You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 5. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 15. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 25. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 1. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 11. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 21. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Southfield, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 26, and by October 24 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.With it now being late April, it is now time to look at some last/first dates. The readings I will look at are the last hard freeze using 28° the last 32° low and the last 37° low (that is the upper limit for frost) and then the 1 st 70 high and 1 st 75 and 80 high all of which should be reached in the next month.. For the last low of 28 or below the average date at Grand Rapids is April 19 ...Oct 3. Oct 6. Oct 9. Oct 12. Oct 17. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Saint Clair, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...Sep 21. Sep 24. Sep 27. Sep 30. Oct 4. Oct 9. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Muskegon, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 29. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 7. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall. Temperature.You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 2. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 13. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 23. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.Some examples that might help: You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 5. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 17. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 29. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall. ….

Oct 3. Oct 6. Oct 9. Oct 12. Oct 17. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Saint Clair, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Harrison, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around August 19, and by September 19 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Oxford, Michigan. How to read these charts for the spring. As the growing season approaches, the days get longer, the weather begins to warm up, and the nights start being less cold. You're still getting frost, but the chance of nightly frosts gets less and less with each passing day.I have seen many, many threads about the history of the coney island sauce for hot dogs that originated in the Detroit area and are served as “Michigans” in New York state and part...Sep 30. Oct 3. Oct 6. Oct 10. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Independence, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!As frost melts beneath a paved road, the roadbed turns wet and spongy because water is trapped between the pavement and the remaining ice layer beneath. ... Date when info was last updated; ... including stewardship of the county road right-of-way in Michigan. Contact us. Address: 101 S. Washington Sq., Ste. 200, Lansing, MI 48933 Phone: 517. ...You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 1. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 13. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 24. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall. You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 14. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 29. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 15. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall. Sep 20. Sep 23. Sep 25. Sep 28. Sep 30. Oct 2. Oct 5. Oct 8. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Flint, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants! You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 9. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 17. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 26. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall. Michigan frost dates, Setting up a living trust is easier than you think. In this guide, we discuss the steps you need to take to set up a living trust in the state of Michigan Calculators Helpful Guide..., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ..., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 26. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 7. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 19. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy damage to most garden plants., First Fall Frost. Growing Season. HOLLAND TULIP CITY AP, MI. 688'. May 4. Oct 15. 163 days. Last and first frost dates are 30% probability. Calculated using 1991-2020 Climate Normals from NOAA., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by --. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 22. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by --. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall. , You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 9. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 17. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 26. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., First Fall Frost. Growing Season. EAST LANSING 4 S, MI. 879'. May 4. Oct 11. 159 days. Last and first frost dates are 30% probability. Calculated using 1991-2020 Climate Normals from NOAA. , You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 1. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 13. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 24. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Detroit, Michigan - Garden.org. How to read these charts for the spring. As the growing season approaches, the days get longer, the …, Detailed planting and seed starting guides specifically made for Michigan based on USDA zone date and last frost date., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 24. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 5. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 15. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and …, Enter spring frost-free date (include year): mm/dd/yyyy. Date. Enter. Crop Number of weeks to start seeds before setting-out date: When to start inside Setting-out date From To Safe time to set out plants (relative to frost-free date) From To; VEGETABLES Artichoke: 8: 19-Jul. on frost-free date: 13-Sep. Basil: 6: 9-Aug. 1 week after: 20-Sep ..., About Frost Maps. Plantmaps maintains Frost data and maps for many regions on the earth. We've created Average First Frost Dates, Average Last Frost Dates and Average Number of days with Frost maps for most US States and Candian Provinces. Plantmaps also created maps for many countries around the world that are in latitudes where frost …, Aug 24. Aug 28. Aug 31. Sep 4. Sep 8. Sep 13. Sep 20. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Ontonagon, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!, Our Michigan retirement tax friendliness calculator can help you estimate your tax burden in retirement using your Social Security, 401(k) and IRA income. Michigan does not tax Soc..., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ..., The dates provided are based on the number of weeks before or after frost, so we can provide a unique calendar to every user in the country. Thus, several crops (especially similar crops) may appear to have the same date. Kale and lettuce, for example, or dates for starting seeds, like broccoli and cabbage. Fall Planting Calendar, A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 1. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 13. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 24. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., Fortunately, Michigan has developed an online map tool that makes this process much easier! In today’s blog post, we’ll give step-by-step instructions on how to navigate the Michigan Frost Law Map like a pro! Step 1: Access The Official Website. The first thing you need is access to the official website where all information related to snow ..., Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Oxford, Michigan. How to read these charts for the spring. As the growing season approaches, the days get longer, the weather begins to warm up, and the nights start being less cold. You're still getting frost, but the chance of nightly frosts gets less and less with each passing day., Sep 27. Sep 29. Oct 1. Oct 3. Oct 6. Oct 9. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Kalamazoo, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!, As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Birmingham, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 26, and by October 24 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ..., Someone who wants to take care of a pygmy date palm tree should avoid watering it too much, not over prune it and use fertilizers that develop the right soil environment. In additi..., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 21. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 1. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 11. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., The date frost laws go into effect annually is determined by local road officials based on the current conditions. Often, in the Michigan county in which I reside, this occurs on March 1. This year, with our prolonged winter, county frost laws did not go into effect until March 17., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 26. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 5. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 14. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 14. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 29. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 15. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 11. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 20. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 28. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 28. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 8. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 17. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.